Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.005519 0.006123 0.006778 0.007544 0.008417 0.009384 0.010541
2025-06-29 0.004461 0.005268 0.006214 0.007411 0.008898 0.010703 0.013082
2025-07-06 0.003846 0.004727 0.005811 0.007259 0.009167 0.011633 0.015118
2025-07-13 0.003462 0.004394 0.005587 0.007251 0.009554 0.012693 0.017408
2025-07-20 0.003233 0.004219 0.005527 0.007424 0.010169 0.014101 0.020354
2025-07-27 0.002968 0.003964 0.005323 0.007360 0.010422 0.014997 0.022648
2025-08-03 0.002766 0.003771 0.005180 0.007356 0.010743 0.016013 0.025259
2025-08-10 0.002570 0.003568 0.005000 0.007272 0.010920 0.016806 0.027602
2025-08-17 0.002433 0.003439 0.004913 0.007314 0.011291 0.017948 0.030718
2025-08-24 0.002281 0.003273 0.004757 0.007227 0.011435 0.018711 0.033252
2025-08-31 0.002115 0.003073 0.004530 0.007005 0.011321 0.018996 0.034899
2025-09-07 0.002012 0.002965 0.004438 0.006995 0.011570 0.019964 0.038066
2025-09-14 0.001960 0.002935 0.004477 0.007222 0.012291 0.021959 0.043889
2025-09-21 0.001838 0.002789 0.004316 0.007089 0.012338 0.022665 0.047061
2025-09-28 0.001727 0.002651 0.004158 0.006945 0.012347 0.023286 0.050157
2025-10-05 0.001650 0.002564 0.004079 0.006937 0.012617 0.024486 0.054920
2025-10-12 0.001608 0.002532 0.004093 0.007101 0.013248 0.026560 0.062410
2025-10-19 0.001534 0.002441 0.003994 0.007041 0.013408 0.027599 0.067391
2025-10-26 0.001473 0.002370 0.003928 0.007037 0.013684 0.028947 0.073594
2025-11-02 0.001407 0.002285 0.003828 0.006957 0.013785 0.029886 0.078831
2025-11-09 0.001362 0.002234 0.003789 0.006997 0.014156 0.031554 0.086810
2025-11-16 0.001304 0.002157 0.003695 0.006915 0.014240 0.032498 0.092717
2025-11-23 0.001233 0.002053 0.003545 0.006704 0.013998 0.032553 0.095624